Iran has conceded to refrain from action against its neighbours if they dont aid strikes on them which is half way to a cease fire possibly.  USA and Israel have bases/forces too close that Iran could hope to end the war by mutual agreement without them.    The cause of the war is Iran wont follow any guidelines, its essentially a military dictatorship that wants to bring about the end of one the nations who are heavily military supported.  They cant be bargained with, they are extremely capable and powerful with one of the largest energy resources in the world at a cheap cost.    The economics is energy and they have a stranglehold on trade in the area, so that is their leverage and also its not an easy country to invade on foot apparently.  I rate it below 10% for suffering tanks across the border, occupation and so on.   I wish the Kurds had some power to settle but thats very unlikely and all the major powers have continually left Kurd forces without any real support or long term alliance, its doubtful they believe it now.   So its oil, gas and shipping that settles this war, every party involved has action in that equation and wants a ceasefire even if it cant be peace.   Its a terrible mess, dont start wars like this without some idea how to close it.  20 years of Afghanistan should have been enough warning, even Russia didnt try that and at present its making Russia look like the sensible mediator.
Iran has conceded to refrain from action against its neighbours if they dont aid strikes on them which is half way to a cease fire possibly.  USA and Israel have bases/forces too close that Iran could hope to end the war by mutual agreement without them.    The cause of the war is Iran wont follow any guidelines, its essentially a military dictatorship that wants to bring about the end of one the nations who are heavily military supported.  They cant be bargained with, they are extremely capable and powerful with one of the largest energy resources in the world at a cheap cost.    The economics is energy and they have a stranglehold on trade in the area, so that is their leverage and also its not an easy country to invade on foot apparently.  I rate it below 10% for suffering tanks across the border, occupation and so on.   I wish the Kurds had some power to settle but thats very unlikely and all the major powers have continually left Kurd forces without any real support or long term alliance, its doubtful they believe it now.   So its oil, gas and shipping that settles this war, every party involved has action in that equation and wants a ceasefire even if it cant be peace.   Its a terrible mess, dont start wars like this without some idea how to close it.  20 years of Afghanistan should have been enough warning, even Russia didnt try that and at present its making Russia look like the sensible mediator.

Iran has conceded to refrain from action against its neighbours if they dont aid strikes on them which is half way to a cease fire possibly.  USA and Israel have bases/forces too close that Iran could hope to end the war by mutual agreement without them.    The cause of the war is Iran wont follow any guidelines, its essentially a military dictatorship that wants to bring about the end of one the nations who are heavily military supported.  They cant be bargained with, they are extremely capable and powerful with one of the largest energy resources in the world at a cheap cost.    The economics is energy and they have a stranglehold on trade in the area, so that is their leverage and also its not an easy country to invade on foot apparently.  I rate it below 10% for suffering tanks across the border, occupation and so on.   I wish the Kurds had some power to settle but thats very unlikely and all the major powers have continually left Kurd forces without any real support or long term alliance, its doubtful they believe it now.   So its oil, gas and shipping that settles this war, every party involved has action in that equation and wants a ceasefire even if it cant be peace.   Its a terrible mess, dont start wars like this without some idea how to close it.  20 years of Afghanistan should have been enough warning, even Russia didnt try that and at present its making Russia look like the sensible mediator.

Iran has conceded to refrain from action against its neighbours if they dont aid strikes on them which is half way to a cease fire possibly.  USA and Israel have bases/forces too close that Iran could hope to end the war by mutual agreement without them.    The cause of the war is Iran wont follow any guidelines, its essentially a military dictatorship that wants to bring about the end of one the nations who are heavily military supported.  They cant be bargained with, they are extremely capable and powerful with one of the largest energy resources in the world at a cheap cost.    The economics is energy and they have a stranglehold on trade in the area, so that is their leverage and also its not an easy country to invade on foot apparently.  I rate it below 10% for suffering tanks across the border, occupation and so on.   I wish the Kurds had some power to settle but thats very unlikely and all the major powers have continually left Kurd forces without any real support or long term alliance, its doubtful they believe it now.   So its oil, gas and shipping that settles this war, every party involved has action in that equation and wants a ceasefire even if it cant be peace.   Its a terrible mess, dont start wars like this without some idea how to close it.  20 years of Afghanistan should have been enough warning, even Russia didnt try that and at present its making Russia look like the sensible mediator.