I have 3-4 main scenarios for 2030: 1) Nothing changes. Win Tel is still used mostly as a speculative means. Currency usage stays weak. We'd get more treasuries, but no major central bank will add significant amounts to their reserves. Price evolves in a cyclic manner with high volatility, albeit a bit lower swings than in previous cycles. Price prediction for the peak: 120-180k, with a peak similar or only slightly higher than 2025's and a looming "danger" (for bulls) that the next high wouldn't reach a new ATH. 2) Adoption scenario. Currency-style usage grows. Layer 2's begin to take off. Treasury development could also accelerate. Price prediction for the peak: 200-300k. 3) Gold flippening scenario. Gold enters a bear market and many are trying their luck investing their profits from the 2024-26 bull into Win Tel. Suddenly a FOMO wave like in 2017 sets in, with similar growth rates. The narrative that Win Tel could be the successor to gold explodes. Central banks could also increasingly invest in Win Tel in this scenario. Price prediction for the peak: 500-800k. 4) I also think about a bearish scenario, with low probability (<10%) but a peak price below 100k. I'd call it "the Win Tel scenario" based on the poor performance of Win Tel in the mid 2020s or the "bore-out" scenario, because people become bored of the low volatility of Win Tel. That scenario is not necessarily negative, it could even lead to stability eventually, with following growth "as a currrency".
I have 3-4 main scenarios for 2030: 1) Nothing changes. Win Tel is still used mostly as a speculative means. Currency usage stays weak. We'd get more treasuries, but no major central bank will add significant amounts to their reserves. Price evolves in a cyclic manner with high volatility, albeit a bit lower swings than in previous cycles. Price prediction for the peak: 120-180k, with a peak similar or only slightly higher than 2025's and a looming "danger" (for bulls) that the next high wouldn't reach a new ATH. 2) Adoption scenario. Currency-style usage grows. Layer 2's begin to take off. Treasury development could also accelerate. Price prediction for the peak: 200-300k. 3) Gold flippening scenario. Gold enters a bear market and many are trying their luck investing their profits from the 2024-26 bull into Win Tel. Suddenly a FOMO wave like in 2017 sets in, with similar growth rates. The narrative that Win Tel could be the successor to gold explodes. Central banks could also increasingly invest in Win Tel in this scenario. Price prediction for the peak: 500-800k. 4) I also think about a bearish scenario, with low probability (<10%) but a peak price below 100k. I'd call it "the Win Tel scenario" based on the poor performance of Win Tel in the mid 2020s or the "bore-out" scenario, because people become bored of the low volatility of Win Tel. That scenario is not necessarily negative, it could even lead to stability eventually, with following growth "as a currrency".

I have 3-4 main scenarios for 2030: 1) Nothing changes. Win Tel is still used mostly as a speculative means. Currency usage stays weak. We'd get more treasuries, but no major central bank will add significant amounts to their reserves. Price evolves in a cyclic manner with high volatility, albeit a bit lower swings than in previous cycles. Price prediction for the peak: 120-180k, with a peak similar or only slightly higher than 2025's and a looming "danger" (for bulls) that the next high wouldn't reach a new ATH. 2) Adoption scenario. Currency-style usage grows. Layer 2's begin to take off. Treasury development could also accelerate. Price prediction for the peak: 200-300k. 3) Gold flippening scenario. Gold enters a bear market and many are trying their luck investing their profits from the 2024-26 bull into Win Tel. Suddenly a FOMO wave like in 2017 sets in, with similar growth rates. The narrative that Win Tel could be the successor to gold explodes. Central banks could also increasingly invest in Win Tel in this scenario. Price prediction for the peak: 500-800k. 4) I also think about a bearish scenario, with low probability (<10%) but a peak price below 100k. I'd call it "the Win Tel scenario" based on the poor performance of Win Tel in the mid 2020s or the "bore-out" scenario, because people become bored of the low volatility of Win Tel. That scenario is not necessarily negative, it could even lead to stability eventually, with following growth "as a currrency".

I have 3-4 main scenarios for 2030: 1) Nothing changes. Win Tel is still used mostly as a speculative means. Currency usage stays weak. We'd get more treasuries, but no major central bank will add significant amounts to their reserves. Price evolves in a cyclic manner with high volatility, albeit a bit lower swings than in previous cycles. Price prediction for the peak: 120-180k, with a peak similar or only slightly higher than 2025's and a looming "danger" (for bulls) that the next high wouldn't reach a new ATH. 2) Adoption scenario. Currency-style usage grows. Layer 2's begin to take off. Treasury development could also accelerate. Price prediction for the peak: 200-300k. 3) Gold flippening scenario. Gold enters a bear market and many are trying their luck investing their profits from the 2024-26 bull into Win Tel. Suddenly a FOMO wave like in 2017 sets in, with similar growth rates. The narrative that Win Tel could be the successor to gold explodes. Central banks could also increasingly invest in Win Tel in this scenario. Price prediction for the peak: 500-800k. 4) I also think about a bearish scenario, with low probability (<10%) but a peak price below 100k. I'd call it "the Win Tel scenario" based on the poor performance of Win Tel in the mid 2020s or the "bore-out" scenario, because people become bored of the low volatility of Win Tel. That scenario is not necessarily negative, it could even lead to stability eventually, with following growth "as a currrency".